With the Birds sitting at 2-4 through six games in 2026, I got curious about how our previous three head coaches performed during their final seasons in Philly.
Specifically, I wanted to compare their records, point differentials, and overall trajectories through the first six games. Some interesting similarities, but also some pretty significant differences.
First six games: A comparison
Metric | Reid (2012) | Kelly (2015) | Pederson (2020)
Record | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-4-1
Points scored | 103 | 144 | 141
Points allowed | 125 | 110 | 175
Point differential | -22 | +34 | -34
Points per game | 17.2 | 24.0 | 23.5
Points allowed/game | 20.8 | 18.3 | 29.2
Final record | 4-12 | 7-9 | 4-11-1
Andy Reid (2012): A winning record masking bigger problems
Reid's Eagles actually started 3-1, but all three victories came by two points or fewer. The offense was struggling, Michael Vick was turning the ball over, and the team was averaging just 17.2 points through six games.
Game 6 was particularly telling. The Eagles blew a 10-point fourth-quarter lead against Detroit, losing 26-23 in overtime. Two days later, Reid fired defensive coordinator Juan Castillo.
Philadelphia would go on to lose eight straight and finish 4-12. Through six games, the Eagles were technically competitive, but their negative point differential suggested they weren't nearly as good as their record indicated.
Chip Kelly (2015): A team seemingly finding its footing
Kelly's Eagles had the same 3-3 record, but their underlying numbers were considerably better.
After starting 1-3, Philadelphia won consecutive games against New Orleans (39-17) and the Giants (27-7), outscoring them by a combined 42 points.
Through six games, the Eagles had a +34 point differential, the best defense of the three teams by points allowed, and an offense averaging 24 points per game.
Of the three coaches, Kelly arguably had the most encouraging six-game trajectory. The team appeared to be improving, despite inconsistent quarterback play and an underperforming rushing attack.
Of course, that momentum didn't last. Kelly was fired before the season finale, and the Eagles finished 7-9.
Doug Pederson (2020): Trouble from the beginning
Pederson's Eagles had the worst start of the three, going 1-4-1 with a -34 point differential.
The offense struggled with turnovers, injuries, and offensive line instability. Carson Wentz was under constant pressure, while the defense surrendered an average of 29.2 points per game.
There were occasional signs of life. Philadelphia beat San Francisco in Week 4 and nearly overcame a 17-point deficit against Baltimore in Week 6, ultimately losing 30-28.
But unlike Kelly's team, which appeared to be building momentum, Pederson's Eagles never really established any consistency.
They finished 4-11-1, just three seasons removed from winning the Super Bowl.
*What happened after Game 6?*
Coach | First 6 games | Final 10 games
Reid | 3-3 | 1-9
Kelly | 3-3 | 4-6*
Pederson | 1-4-1 | 3-7
*Kelly was fired with one game remaining. Pat Shurmur coached the season finale. Reid
Curious what everyone thinks: How much weight do you put on a team's first six games, particularly its point differential, when assessing whether a coach has lost control of the season?