r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 3d ago
I’ve taken over moderation of this sub and plan to get it active again.
Stage Analysis is the method Stan Weinstein laid out in Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets. It sorts a stock, sector, or index into one of four stages using its weekly chart and the 30-week moving average:
Weekly charts determine the stage. Daily charts are for timing.
New here? The wiki has the four stages, a glossary, and where the method comes from.
What this sub is for
New to Weinstein or have read the book three times, you’re welcome here.
Rules
The full list is in the sidebar. The short version: stay on Stage Analysis, no self-promotion or ads, no buy calls or pumping, and post your reasoning with your chart.
Disclosure: I run AlphaMethodX, a Stage Analysis screening site. When a screenshot from it helps illustrate a point about the method or provides market insight, I'll post it, and with no sign-up pitch.
r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 3h ago
Only 4 of the 11 sectors are in Stage 2: tech $XLK, energy $XLE, health care $XLV and financials $XLF. In tech, 34.7% of the sector's 254 stocks are in Stage 3, more than in any other Stage 2 sector.
r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 2d ago
$VERX Stage 1 and basing since February.
r/stageanalysis • u/Gen-Martok • 2d ago
$AEO basing in stage 1. Looking for a break out entry or pull back on the 30 Week MA. (weekly left / daily right)
r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 3d ago
More stocks strengthened than weakened.
SPY remains in weekly Stage 2 with a Stage Score of 5/6. Its daily factors are mixed.
61.5% of the universe strengthened and 38.5% weakened.
Daily factors were strongest in XLB, XLE, and XLP and weakest in XLC, XLK, and XLI.
SP500 breadth so far this week, 2 of 5 sessions: 41.2% Advancing, 17.1% Basing, 19.1% Topping, 22.7% Declining.
Advancing rose from 36.1% at last week's close, +5.1 pts.
r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 3d ago
$NVO has transitioned from Stage 2 (advancing) > Stage 3 (topping) > Stage 4 (declining) and has entered Stage 1 (basing). Looks like a potential cup-and-handle forming and this could lead to a break out back into Stage 2.
r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 3d ago
“If you want to succeed in an endeavor where 90% are failing, you have two choices. You can study the large 90% losing group and do the opposite of what they do, or you can replicate what the 10% do.” - Tom Hougaard
Tom Hougaard spent ten years watching the LOSING majority. What he saw them do:
🤦♂️Never add to a winner
🤦♂️Skip the stop-loss, because an open loss still has hope
🤦♂️Add to losing trades, because a lower price feels like a bargain
🤦♂️Take half profits on winners
r/stageanalysis • u/Gen-Martok • 3d ago
Free TradingView Stage Analysis and Mansfield Relative Strength indicator.
https://alphamethodx.com/learn/tradingview-stage-analysis-indicator/
r/stageanalysis • u/AlphaMethodX • 3d ago
Stage 1 (advancing) stocks peaked mid August and has been trending down since.
Stage 2 (basing) is trending up, and this is the place to watch for the next break outs.
