r/hurricane • • 10h ago

Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) ATL TWO (800 AM EDT October 19, 2026): Increased confidence that the non-tropical low pressure system off the coast of North Carolina will become a cut-off low that could briefly acquire some subtropical cyclone characteristics during the middle to latter portions of the week.🍊(0/40%)

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31 Upvotes
 Tropical Weather Outlook
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026

 For the North Atlantic:

 1. Off the East Coast of the United States:
 A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is located along a 
 frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeast coast of the 
 United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically 
 over the next couple of days. If the low remains over the Gulf 
 Stream and becomes detached from the front, it could briefly
 acquire some subtropical cyclone characteristics during the middle
 to latter portions of the week. The system is expected to begin to
 move northeastward away from the the eastern United States later
 this week, and environmental conditions are expected to become 
 unfavorable for development by the weekend.  Regardless of the 
 status of the system, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous 
 surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the 
 next few days. Please consult statements and warnings from local 
 National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center 
 for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm 
 Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
   * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
   * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


 High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
 found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
 online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


 Forecaster Pasch

r/hurricane • • 8h ago

Category 5 | >136kts (>156mph) Champi Advisory 21 (15z October 19, 2026): Champi has re-intensified back into a Super Typhoon with maximum sustained winds of 140 kts (160 mph / 260 kmph) and 919 mb minimum central pressure. Entering PAGASA ZoR. Could threaten Taiwan by end of week.

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30 Upvotes

r/hurricane • • 10h ago

Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) PAC TWO (500 AM PDT October 19, 2026): Now a Tropical Storm, Trudy has rapidly weakened and most of its deep convection has dissipated. Forecast to become post-tropical within 24 hours and dissipate within days... Meanwhile, a new storm is likely develop by the end of the week.🍒 50/90%

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20 Upvotes
 Tropical Weather Outlook
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 19 2026

 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

 Active Systems:
 The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
 Storm Trudy, located a couple of hundred miles offshore of 
 west-central Mexico.

 1. South of Southern Mexico:
 Showers and thunderstorms, associated with a trough of low pressure 
 located several hundred miles south of Guatemala, remain disorganized. 
 Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a
 tropical depression is expected to form around the middle of this
 week as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at around
 10 mph, well to the south of the coast of southern Mexico.
   * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
   * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


 Forecaster Adams