r/nccourage • u/Joiry • 13h ago
Last 2 games are basically must win
The playoff math isn't complicated at this point:
- Portland - 44 pts
- Seattle - 43 pts
- NC - 42 pts
Remaining Games:
Thorns - Courage, Dash (away)
Reign - Royals (away), Pride
Courage - Thorns (away), Summit
Unless we're banking on Reign losing both of their games, and Royals is a good bet, but by no means guaranteed. I think the chances of both these teams winning their final game is more weighted towards them than against. Thorns will have Sophia Wilson back from suspension last game, and both Dash and Pride have been shaky at the end of the season.
A draw and a win might do it, but again, really relies a lot on one of the other two teams losing a game. As noted, no Wilson when we play Thorns next week, but its the final home game for them as well. A draw in Portland puts us likely in a GD tiebreaker at the end with Reign, which favors us for the moment.
edit - another thing to keep on the radar, both EMP and Lind are on yellow accumulation warning
