r/asoiaf • u/LotusCobra8 • 9h ago
EXTENDED (Spoilers Extended) ASOIAF is full of characters who diagnose the problem correctly and then prescribe poison
Something I keep noticing on rereads is how often characters in ASOIAF aren't actually wrong about the problem in front of them. They're wrong about what the hell to do about it. And honestly I think that's a much more interesting kind of failure than someone simply being stupid or completely misreading the situation.
Cersei is probably the funniest example. She's not imagining that the Tyrells are becoming enormously powerful at court, that Margaery's popularity threatens her own position, or that the Lannisters are much weaker after Tywin's death than they were before. Those are real problems. Her response is to alienate basically every useful ally she has, surround herself with people she considers harmless because they're incompetent, and empower the Faith because she thinks she'll somehow be the one person they can't touch. Theon is similar in a completely different way. He understands that returning to Pyke as "Ned Stark's ward" has left him in this miserable position where neither the Starks nor the Ironborn fully see him as one of them. He genuinely does need to establish an identity and prove himself if he wants any standing among his family. So naturally he decides the solution is taking Winterfell with a tiny force, a castle he has basically no realistic way to hold. He sees the wound perfectly and then sticks a knife into it.
Tywin might be the version of this that fascinates me most, because he's so often treated as the ultimate pragmatist. He correctly understands that House Lannister needs fear, loyalty, competent heirs, and a stable political order to survive. Yet half the methods he uses to achieve those things actively destroy them. He humiliates Tyrion while desperately needing capable family members, terrorizes enemies so thoroughly that their hatred survives him, and treats his children like pieces on a board while expecting them to preserve the dynasty after he's gone. Even Robb falls into this pattern sometimes. He understands exactly how fragile his coalition is and how much his kingship depends on personal loyalty, then makes a deeply personal decision about Jeyne that creates a political disaster he absolutely knows he can't afford. That's what I love about these mistakes. They're rarely "character forgets obvious fact so plot can happen." The character usually sees at least part of the truth. Their pride, fear, guilt, trauma, or need to prove something takes over at the exact moment they have to choose a solution. In ASOIAF, recognizing the fire and deciding to put it out with wildfire feels almost like a recurring character type