r/althistory • • 19h ago

What if Biden had stepped down in 2022?

7 Upvotes

So my thought process is that if Biden had stepped down in 2022 and elevated Harris to the presidency, giving us our first female commander in chief by a technicality. This idea wouldn't even be that original, since even President Ford who had also gotten into the job on a technicality is famously quoted for saying our first female president would probably have to get into office this way.

A couple of things this would alleviate leading up to the 2024 election, it would help dissuade the doubts over Bidens capabilities. That he was only supposed to be a one term president to get us through the pandemic but that someone fresh should take over. I think 2022 is the perfect time because it would allow Kamala to build her own identity away from Biden which everyone felt she was lacking going into the 2024 election.

Yet on a different note, I think it would make sense to still have a primary in early 2024. Yes Kamala will have to present her case and someone could step up to challenge her, similar to Ford V Reagan 1976. My question is how would this play out? Do you think someone like Newsom would challenge her, wouldn't be the first time a California governor has done so. Or would the establishment push her to be unopposed and we get the same results as our timeline, since many were dissapointed we never had a real primary.

Thoughts?


r/althistory • • 22h ago

(Three Little Pillars) Victorian Europe: 1830–1910

2 Upvotes

The Victorian era was a period of profound transformation for Europe. Revolutions challenged old political orders, nationalism reshaped the continent, and industrialization accelerated the growth of powerful modern states. Yet the Europe that emerged from this turbulent century would look very different from the one known to history. The survival of the United Netherlands, the collapse of the Austrian Empire, and the rise of a unified Germany would transform the balance of power, laying the foundations for a new and increasingly competitive European order.

The Belgian Revolt and the United Netherlands (1830)

In 1830, the Belgian Revolt erupted as tensions grew between the predominantly Catholic southern provinces and the Protestant-dominated northern Netherlands. Economic differences further deepened these divisions, as the southern provinces became increasingly industrialized while the kingdom remained heavily oriented toward its traditional commercial interests. The enforcement of Dutch-language policies in predominantly French-speaking areas added another source of resentment, bringing religious, economic, and linguistic grievances into open conflict.

Unlike in our own history, however, the revolt was swiftly suppressed by the Dutch army before the revolutionaries could establish control. The government subsequently introduced reforms intended to integrate the southern provinces more fully into the kingdom, including greater regional political representation for Catholics, measures supporting industrial development, and the relaxation of Dutch-language restrictions. Although these concessions eased some of the tensions that had threatened the kingdom's survival, the question of Belgian identity would remain an important challenge to Dutch unity.

Some participants in the failed revolt fled the country to escape punishment. While some settled in the growing Dutch colony of Zuidland, others migrated to French-speaking parts of North America, particularly Louisiana and Quebec. The survival of the United Netherlands preserved a significant power in northwestern Europe and ensured that the political future of the Low Countries would remain an important part of European affairs.

The Crimean War and the Polish Question (1853–1855)

The outbreak of the Crimean War in 1853 brought the European powers into another struggle over the balance of power in the east. Following a Russian invasion of Ottoman territory, Britain and France intervened in support of the Ottoman Empire, seeking to contain Russian expansion and prevent the further weakening of the Ottomans. Other powers saw opportunities of their own. Sardinia joined the war in the hope of gaining diplomatic influence for Italian unification, while Sweden entered the conflict seeking to exploit Russian weakness and reclaim Finland.

Prussia initially remained neutral, profiting from the conflict by selling resources to Russia at high prices while the British and French naval blockade restricted Russian access to overseas trade. As the Russian war effort deteriorated, however, Britain and France increased diplomatic pressure on the Prussian government to abandon its neutrality. Britain eventually offered to recognize a Polish kingdom under Prussian control in exchange for Prussian intervention against Russia. Seeing an opportunity to strengthen its position in eastern Europe, Prussia accepted the offer and declared war.

With Prussia attacking from the west while the Allied armies continued their campaign in the south, Russia's position rapidly deteriorated. Peace negotiations followed, and the war ended in 1855. The conflict demonstrated the growing importance of diplomatic bargaining and industrial resources in modern warfare, while the promise of a Polish kingdom under Prussian authority established a new question in central European politics: the relationship between Polish nationalism and Prussian ambitions.

The Collapse of Austria and the Unification of Germany (1866–1870)

By 1866, Prussia had emerged as the leading force among the German states and was determined to remove Austria as its principal rival. Before the outbreak of war, Prussian diplomats established contacts with nationalist movements throughout the Austrian Empire. These efforts were intended largely as psychological warfare, encouraging Vienna to fear that Prussia could destabilize its multinational empire from within.

War erupted in 1866 between the northern German states led by Prussia and the southern German states aligned with Austria. What initially appeared to be another struggle for dominance within Germany soon became a crisis for the entire Austrian Empire. Polish troops entered Galicia, encouraging Polish nationalists and other dissatisfied peoples to rise against Austrian rule. Hungarian, Croatian, Bosnian, Czech, and Italian movements challenged imperial authority, and the Austrian government found itself fighting to preserve an empire threatened by competing national aspirations.

As the imperial position deteriorated, the conflict became increasingly difficult for either Austria or Prussia to control. The two powers eventually ceased fighting one another and cooperated with the other German states to prevent the German lands from descending into wider chaos. Nevertheless, the collapse of Austrian authority across much of central and eastern Europe could not be reversed.

Fighting continued until 1868, when a series of settlements transformed the political map. Hungary became independent, while Croatia and Bosnia united to establish the Republic of Illyria. Poland and Romania acquired parts of Galicia, and Italy received Lombardy, Venetia, and Trentino. Austria retained its German core, along with Czechia and Slovenia, but its former position as a major Central European empire had effectively come to an end.

The collapse of Austria left the German states facing a fundamental question: how could they establish a lasting political order without allowing the territories of the former empire to become a source of further instability? A congress was convened in Frankfurt, bringing together the German states and the major European powers to negotiate a new settlement.

By 1870, Prussia, Austria, and the remaining German states had agreed to form the German Empire. To appease the other great powers Prussia surrendered its Polish-majority territories, Austria renounced its former imperial claims, and the Habsburg and Hohenzollern dynasties were united through marriage. The new arrangement sought to reconcile the competing interests of the German states while preventing the disputes that had contributed to the Austrian collapse from undermining German unity. Italy and Hungary were also recognized as great powers, reflecting the emergence of a new European order in which national states increasingly replaced the old dynastic empires.

The consequences were far-reaching. Germany emerged as the dominant political power in Central Europe, while Austria survived in a reduced form and the newly independent states of eastern and southeastern Europe began establishing their own national institutions. The balance of power that had characterized the early nineteenth century had been fundamentally transformed.

The Fall of the Bonapartist Monarchy (1873)

The emergence of a unified German Empire further weakened France's position on the continent. Although France retained substantial colonial possessions and remained a major European power, it now faced a powerful industrial and military rival immediately across its eastern frontier. This shift intensified the political difficulties of Napoleon III, whose authoritarian government, censorship, and growing domestic opposition had already undermined the legitimacy of his rule.

When Napoleon III died in 1873, his fourteen-year-old son was legally entitled to succeed him. Yet the young prince's inexperience made him vulnerable to political pressure from those who believed that preserving the Bonapartist monarchy would leave France increasingly isolated and unstable. Influential political leaders persuaded him to surrender his claim to the throne, opening the way for the restoration of republican government.

France thus entered a new political era. The transition ended the Bonapartist dynasty's rule and placed the country on a different path from the one it had followed in our own history. The challenge facing the new republic would be to reconcile its domestic political divisions with the need to maintain France's international standing in an increasingly German-dominated Europe.

The Russo-Ottoman War and the Rise of Illyria (1877–1878)

The eastern question remained unresolved. In 1877, Russia and the Ottoman Empire went to war once again, with Russia presenting its intervention as a campaign to liberate the Balkan peoples still under Ottoman rule. Romania, Illyria, and other forces joined the struggle against the Ottomans, each pursuing its own interests while supporting the expansion of independent states in southeastern Europe.

For Illyria, the conflict offered an opportunity to extend its influence beyond the Croat and Bosnian territories from which the republic had originated. As Ottoman authority weakened, Illyria gained additional territory and incorporated growing numbers of South Slavs who had been freed from Ottoman rule. The expansion strengthened the republic's regional position, but it also transformed its domestic character, making it increasingly difficult to govern as a state centered primarily on Croatian and Bosnian interests.

At the Congress of Berlin in 1878, Romania's independence was formally recognized, while the Ottoman territorial settlement confirmed Illyria's gains. With its population and territory expanding, the Illyrian government moved its capital from Zagreb to Sarajevo. The heavily Croat character of Zagreb had made it a less suitable center for a republic that now sought to represent a more diverse South Slavic population. Sarajevo, by contrast, offered the possibility of a more neutral political center for the expanding state.

The rise of Illyria introduced a new and increasingly important power into Balkan affairs. Its future would depend on whether a state built around the liberation and unification of South Slavs could reconcile its growing internal diversity with its ambitions abroad.

The Scramble for Africa and the Brussels Conference (1884–1885)

As industrialization accelerated and global trade expanded, European colonial ambitions increasingly extended into Africa and Asia. The borders of entire regions were now being negotiated by governments whose representatives had often never visited the territories they claimed. Competition for resources, trade routes, strategic positions, and international prestige brought the European powers together at the Brussels Conference of 1884–1885, where they sought to formalize their competing African claims and establish the terms under which their empires would expand.

The resulting settlement allowed nearly every major power to leave believing that it had gained something while its rivals had been burdened with costly or difficult territories. Britain strengthened its African empire by securing parts of Central Africa and establishing a more continuous chain of territories linking its possessions in Egypt, West Africa, and East Africa. These acquisitions offered opportunities for trade and the eventual development of railway connections across the continent.

France had its control of the Sahara confirmed and secured most of western Africa, reinforcing the scale and strategic importance of its colonial empire. Germany received the entire Kongo basin, an immense territory that offered considerable potential resources but would also prove expensive and difficult to administer. Portugal secured a continuous territorial connection between its African possessions while limiting further Dutch expansion.

The Netherlands gained international recognition of the borders of Zuidland, allowing the government to restrain further expansion by settlers and colonial officials. For the Dutch, the settlement strengthened the legitimacy of their colonial position and gave the government a clearer framework for managing its growing overseas interests. Italy received less territory than the other major powers, but gained formal recognition of its status as one of Europe's great powers, increasing its diplomatic standing despite its comparatively limited colonial acquisitions.

The conference reflected a wider transformation in international politics. European states increasingly viewed overseas possessions as essential to their economic development, strategic security, and national prestige. Their agreements temporarily established clearer boundaries between competing empires, but they did not eliminate the rivalries that had driven colonial expansion in the first place.

The Victorian Settlement and the Coming Century (1890–1910)

By the beginning of the twentieth century, the political and economic foundations of a new European order had largely been established. Germany's rapid industrialization made it the dominant economic and military power on the continent, while France, Britain, and the Netherlands consolidated their own economies and overseas empires. The survival of the United Netherlands, the rise of a unified Germany, and the emergence of independent states across Central and Southeastern Europe had created a balance of power markedly different from that of the early nineteenth century.

Across Europe, railways, steamships, telegraphs, and new industries connected cities and colonies more closely than ever before. Urban populations expanded, and mass political movements—including socialism, nationalism, and organized labor—became increasingly influential. The expansion of voting rights and political participation brought millions more people into national politics, placing new pressures on governments that had traditionally relied on dynastic authority and restricted political representation.

Yet industrial and social progress did not eliminate international competition. The growth of Germany, the continued ambitions of the established colonial powers, and the emergence of new national states created a European order in which security increasingly depended on the actions and intentions of neighboring powers. The imperial rivalries of the nineteenth century persisted, even as the nations involved became more industrialized and their societies more politically mobilized.

By 1910, the Victorian era had drawn to a close, leaving behind a continent transformed by nationalism, industrialization, and imperial expansion. The great powers possessed stronger economies and more capable militaries than ever before, but they also faced a more complicated international system in which the rise of one state could threaten the security and ambitions of others. The foundations of the modern world had been laid. How Europe would manage the rivalries created by that transformation remained an open question.

I hope you enjoyed this part as well, there is a lack of images for this one that is because I did not want this to take forever and the other parts are almost ready to go. So in the interest in moving the story along I am putting this one up imageless. Let me know what you think of the story!!