r/CanadaFinance • • 13h ago

Canada has had 5 consecutive months of double-digit producer inflation while losing jobs. Are we heading toward 1980s-style stagflation?

64 Upvotes

I've been looking at Canada's inflation numbers lately and there's something I find pretty alarming that barely seems to get any attention. Everyone talks about CPI being at 3%, but have you looked at the Producer Price Index (IPPI)?

In August, Canadian producer prices were up 13.5% year over year. Even excluding energy, they're up 9.1%. Raw material prices are up 22.8%.

And it's not like this happened overnight. Producer inflation has been above 10% for five consecutive months now, since April. If September comes in above 10% again, that'll make six months straight. Meanwhile, we've lost roughly 110,000 jobs in August and September alone. I don't know about you, but I find that combination pretty concerning.

People might dismiss the PPI increase because a lot of it comes from energy, but isn't that exactly the problem? Energy affects practically everything. Transportation, agriculture, manufacturing, food processing, distribution, you name it. When energy gets more expensive, so does producing and delivering just about anything. Businesses can absorb some of those increases, sure, but eventually some of those costs get passed on to consumers. And with how concentrated some of our industries are in Canada, especially grocery retail, I'm not particularly confident consumers will be shielded from those increases. The thing is, even excluding energy, we're still looking at 9.1% producer inflation. Granted, precious metals account for part of that, but we're also seeing increases in chemicals, packaging and food-related manufacturing.

And here's what I find especially interesting. If September stays above 10%, we'll have had six consecutive months of double-digit producer inflation. Excluding the COVID period, the last comparable stretch in the historical data goes back to the early 1980s. Remember what happened around that time? High inflation, rising unemployment, interest rates through the roof and a brutal recession.

We're entering a period where production costs have been rising rapidly for months, while our labour market is already deteriorating. What happens if those higher costs keep filtering through to consumers over the next 6–12 months, while unemployment continues to rise?

What exactly is the Bank of Canada supposed to do? Cut rates to support the economy and risk adding to inflation? Or keep rates elevated and risk making the employment situation worse?

That's basically the stagflation scenario I'm worried about.

I feel like we're all looking at CPI and assuming things are relatively under control because it's at 3%, while there's a pretty massive amount of price pressure further up the production chain. Maybe I'm overreacting, but I genuinely think we could be heading into a very difficult 2027, with persistent inflation, a weakening economy and potentially a recession and a crisis.

I'm curious what other people think. Am I putting too much weight on PPI, or is this a legitimate warning sign that we're largely ignoring?

I'd also be interested to hear from anyone working in manufacturing, food distribution or transportation. Are you seeing these cost increases firsthand? Are businesses absorbing them, or are they already passing them along?

Sources:

Statistics Canada — Industrial Product Price Index, August 2026

Statistics Canada — Consumer Price Index, August 2026

Statistics Canada — Labour Force Survey, September 2026


r/CanadaFinance • • 11h ago

Cybersecurity Leak - CIBC

23 Upvotes

I’ve just received a letter in the mail today from CIBC informing me that all of my personal information including my SIN & drivers license information has been “affected”.

What do I even do about this now? Wait for someone to take a loan out in my name?

Crazy


r/CanadaFinance • • 7h ago

Actual SWD, and available spend on $2.5m, what would retirement look like?

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0 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 9h ago

Ontario banking employees — is a 90-day IFIC requirement normal for an internal promotion?

0 Upvotes

Hi everyone,

I'm currently working in a member/customer service role at a financial institution in Ontario and am being considered for an internal promotion to a Financial Services Officer (FSO) position.

I was informed by HR that if I'm offered the role, I'll have 90 days to complete the Investment Funds in Canada (IFC/IFIC) certification, with a maximum of three exam attempts.

What concerns me is that HR mentioned my current position would no longer be available if I moved into the FSO role. I'm unsure what would happen to my employment if I couldn't complete the certification within the required timeframe.

I haven't received or signed a contract yet, and I plan to review the terms carefully before making any decision.

I'm currently studying for the IFC and have completed some practice questions, but I'm still working through the course material.

I'd really appreciate hearing from anyone who has worked in Canadian banking or experienced something similar.

  1. Is a 90-day certification deadline common for internal banking promotions?

  2. Has anyone been unable to pass the IFIC within their employer's deadline? What happened?

  3. Were you offered an extension, additional training, or another position?

  4. For those who passed while working full-time, how long did you realistically need to prepare?

  5. Would you recommend accepting this type of promotion before completing the certification?

I'm excited about the career opportunity, but I also value my current job security and want to make an informed decision.

Thanks in advance for any advice or experiences!


r/CanadaFinance • • 14h ago

Does it make more sense to pay down debt, or invest?

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1 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 16h ago

questrade gic rates for registered accounts

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1 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 19h ago

Trying to move an IRA with avoiding a taxable event

0 Upvotes

I have a simple IRA in the States, from a time when I previously worked down there. It is currently with Capital Group and I would like to move it in to index funds to avoid management fees. I thought I could create an Interactive Brokers account to transfer it, but it appears to me the Canadian arm won't hold my IRA and I can't create an American account with my residence being in Canada. Are there alternatives? Or do I just leave it as is until I'm 60?


r/CanadaFinance • • 1d ago

Consumer Proposal – One Major Creditor Voted Against It. Anyone Had a Similar Experience?

1 Upvotes

Hi everyone,
I'm looking for advice from anyone who has gone through a similar situation with a consumer proposal in Canada.
I recently filed a consumer proposal, and my trustee informed me that one of my major creditors voted against it. However, the majority of my other creditors voted in favour.
Because the opposing creditor's claim represents more than 25% of the total claims, a creditor meeting has been scheduled.
My trustee said my proposal is currently on track to pass at the meeting, but I'm still feeling anxious and unsure what to expect.
For anyone who has experienced something similar:
Did your proposal eventually get accepted at the creditor meeting?

Is it possible for a proposal to be accepted before the scheduled meeting?

Will creditors ask me questions directly about my finances or how I accumulated my debt?

Is there anything I should prepare for?

I'd really appreciate hearing about your experiences. Thank you!


r/CanadaFinance • • 1d ago

Wealthsimple ?

5 Upvotes

I’m thinking of switching all my accounts to wealthsimple is it a good idea ?


r/CanadaFinance • • 1d ago

RRSP TFSA RESP

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0 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 1d ago

How do you teach kids about money when it’s invisible these days?

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8 Upvotes

Growing up, money was coins in a jar. You could literally watch it shrink when you spent it. Now it's a tap on a phone, and to a kid, the phone just… pays.

For anyone who's cracked this: what's actually worked? Jars, cash-only allowance, a kids' card, making them "pay" you back? I'm especially curious about younger kids, before the teen years.


r/CanadaFinance • • 1d ago

National Bank delinquent account

1 Upvotes

My credit account with National Bank was sent to a collections agency because I stopped making regular repayments.

This happened after I left Canada - I am now in the UK.

When I found out, I contacted National Bank by phone. They told me I had to call the debt collection agency, and gave me a phone number. That phone number leads to an automated voicemail, where I have to leave my contact details and wait to be called back.

I have called and left my details ten times now, over the course of two and a half months. In my message, I explain:

- I no longer have a Canadian phone number
- I am not in Canada so can’t receive mail

I give them my British number and email address.

I haven’t heard back at all, and I’m a bit worried. National Bank are adamant that they can’t give me any other way of contacting the debt collection agency: no email, no other phone number. They say they can’t help me any more, it’s the debt collection agency’s responsibility now.

I feel stuck: I want to pay what I owe, but have no way of knowing what’s happening, if my voice messages are actually being heard by anyone, or if the agency have not listened, and tried to contact me on a Canadian number that no longer exists.

I have asked the new tenant of my old Canadian address to let me know if any mail arrives for me: so far, he says there’s nothing.

Has anyone else been in my position? I am ready and able to pay off my debt straight away, and hate the idea of it continuing to exist.

I am very aware this situation is of my own making, and I am to blame for neglecting my repayments. I’m looking for advice or insights to try to move my situation forward and resolve it. I’d also be massively comforted to know of anyone else who’s in my position or has been in the past.

I am also struggling to find out if interest is still accruing on the amount I owe. It’s not clear to me in any of the information I can access. Any knowledge appreciated


r/CanadaFinance • • 2d ago

What's the most unexpected reason your utility bill has gone up?

2 Upvotes

It's not always obvious what caused a utility bill to increase.

And when your bill is higher than usual, what's the first thing you check?

Is there anything that would make things clearer or you that you wish you had insight into when trying to figure it out?


r/CanadaFinance • • 2d ago

Any budgeting apps that sync properly with Rogers Bank in Canada?

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0 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 2d ago

Why do people employ wealth advisors rather than just investing on XEQT or other indexed fund ETFs?

0 Upvotes

Why would people just not buy some index fund ETFs? Do wealth advisors actually make better returns?

I am 24, and my current portfolio is 70% equity (XEQT) and 30% fixed income. I will make over 100k annually in the next 3yrs and I do believe I have the potential to reach a 200k - 300k salary in the next 30 yrs. For now, my plan is just XEQT and DIY investing, and I am wondering when I should hire a wealth advisor.

I work a government job, so my tax planning options for now really are just an RRSP.


r/CanadaFinance • • 3d ago

Uncertain about future in Canada

0 Upvotes

Hi everyone,

I’m feeling extremely uncertain about my future finances in general and am getting overwhelmed.
I (25f) am a software engineer and I make 110k a year where I help my parents with the mortgage so give them 1.5k a month because we purchased a semi at a terrible terrible price of 1.475k and our realtor convinced us this was a good deal, it’s also my fault for not giving it a second thought and getting all excited about a new house , and literally right after we signed the papers, the housing market went down causing our previous house to also sell under so not only did we buy high, we sold low. And in order to be able to even afford a semi (at that time) we had to include everyone in my family (4 adults) ) under the mortgage. So I am already feeling incredibly stressed about that since I was the one who pushed for a move to a bigger house. And now seeing people getting detached houses for less has me feeling some kind of way.
Anyways, with this mortgage, my spending habits (2k in credit card purchases (always paid off)) , and with how terribly expensive the economy is, I am unsure if I could ever afford a house and a normal life with my partner (looking to purchase a house in the next 3 years) . We would ideally like to sell the current house I live in with my parents and use that money to move them to a smaller property or a condo, but with the market if we sell right now we will loose alot of money. So if I don’t sell in the next 3 years, I don’t know if I will qualify for a loan with my partner.
So my concern is, with me being in such a pickle, and with the way Canada is getting so expensive to live in, I need some advice of next steps to take . I know one thing for sure is to lower my credit card bill but what else can I do, my 9-5 is good but i genuinely want to have my own business, idk of what but I don’t think I can do a 9-5 my whole life I will loose my mind.
Anyways any help or advice would be appreciated.
Also for background info, I currently have 100k saved in my TFSA and with company stocks vested by 2028 I’ll have 200k if I don’t use those stocks. I was thinking of putting 100k as the down payment of my future house


r/CanadaFinance • • 3d ago

Line of credit transfer

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0 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 4d ago

Ebay and future tax season

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1 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 4d ago

25F - am I on the right track?

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0 Upvotes

Hi everyone!
I’m not writing this post to seek sympathy or validation, but rather to get some genuine advice and perspective on my financial situation.
Here’s what my portfolio currently looks like:
TFSA: $31,000 — Mostly sitting in cash right now. I’m waiting for potential pullbacks in a few AI stocks and considering investing in TQQQ.
FHSA: $29,500 — Planning to contribute another $8,000 in 2027.
RRSP: $19,000 — Planning to contribute approximately $10,000 in January.
RSUs: $32,000
Total: Approximately $111,500 CAD
Starting last month, I’ve committed to saving and investing $4,000 per month, with $1,000 going toward my FHSA and $3,000 toward my TFSA.
For some background, I’m 25 and recently received a salary increase to $108,000 in August 2026. My salary progression has been fairly gradual:
Started my career earning around $50,000.
Spent a few years earning under $65,000.
Reached $80,000 in 2025.
Recently increased to $108,000 in August 2026.
I immigrated to Canada in 2020, paid for my own education, and have been living independently while covering all my expenses. I haven’t had financial assistance or a head start, so everything I’ve accumulated has come from working and saving.
Here’s where I’d really appreciate some advice:
1. Am I saving and investing enough for my age?
Whenever I browse Reddit, I come across people in their mid-20s with portfolios worth $200K, $300K, or more. While I understand everyone’s circumstances are different, sometimes it makes me wonder whether I’m behind or if there’s something I could be doing differently.
2. Should I prioritize buying a home or continue investing?
I’m torn between purchasing a property in the near future or waiting another few years.
If I buy now, I anticipate my monthly savings dropping from $4,000 to approximately $2,000 due to housing expenses.
Alternatively, I could continue renting, maximize my FHSA contributions, and give my investments more time to grow before purchasing a home.
3. What would you do differently in my position?
Would you focus on maximizing registered accounts, investing more aggressively while young, or prioritizing homeownership?
I’m not trying to compete with anyone financially. My goal is simply to make smart decisions now that will put me in a strong financial position in my 30s and beyond.
I’d genuinely appreciate any constructive suggestions, especially from people who have been in a similar position.
Thanks in advance!


r/CanadaFinance • • 4d ago

Building a kids' education fund while living abroad

0 Upvotes

I have two kids whom I expect will attend university in Canada from 2031-2038. I currently live abroad and have the funds to invest for their education, but I'm a bit stumped on the currency angle.

It seems that from a tax perspective, investing in Canadian funds/ETFs isn't advantageous for non-residents. On the other hand, if my investments are denominated in USD or some other currency, I introduce exchange rate risk to the picture.

How should I be thinking about this?


r/CanadaFinance • • 5d ago

Im really worried about employment

3 Upvotes

Im current a second year at a non target school (McMaster) trying my hardest to break into S&T, but I feel I’ve been having no luck with networking and all. I am shy naturally and it’s hard, and I’m getting worried I will leave school without an internship. Any advice would be helpful.


r/CanadaFinance • • 5d ago

30F, 1 year into investing after 8 years of addiction- looking for financial guidance

2 Upvotes

Hi!

I'm a 30-year-old woman living in Canada, and I'm looking for some financial advice.

For the past eight years, I struggled with addiction, and investing and long-term financial planning weren't on my mind.. Over the past year, I just started investing..

$45,000 in a high-interest savings account

$18,000 in my RDSP, which should soon increase to approximately $19,500

$5,500 invested in VEQT

Recently opened both a TFSA and an FHSA, and I'm trying to figure out the best way to allocate my money between these accounts.

My current plan is to move most of my savings into registered accounts once my high-interest savings promotion ends.

70% to my TFSA

15% to my FHSA

15% to my RDSP

-Are there any Canadian government benefits, grants, tax advantages, or financial programs I should look into?

-If you were in my position at 30, what would you prioritize financially?

If anyone has been in a similar position please comment! However I appreciate ANY help!


r/CanadaFinance • • 5d ago

Anyone getting 3% cashback at Costco Gas with Capital One Quicksilver (Canada)?

1 Upvotes

Curious about other Canadian cardholders’ experiences with the new Capital One Quicksilver Mastercard.
The card offers 3% cashback on eligible gas purchases (MCC 5541/5542), but Capital One’s FAQ mentions that wholesale-club gas stations may not qualify. I’ve seen conflicting information about how Costco Gas transactions are categorized.
Has anyone actually filled up at Costco Gas using Quicksilver and checked their cashback? Did it earn 3% or 1%?
Looking for real transaction experiences rather than speculation. Thanks!


r/CanadaFinance • • 5d ago

Did I make a bad car financial decision? (18yrs old)

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1 Upvotes

r/CanadaFinance • • 6d ago

Do you keep a chequings account “float”?

187 Upvotes

I keep $3000-$5000 in my chequings account at all times. Every paycheque i’ll add a couple thousand to my savings, pay off both my credit cards, and maintain this “float” amount in my account.

No one has ever told me to do this but i think coming from being super poor at one point i just need to see that number there for comfort. Is doing this pointless? The money isn’t doing anything if it’s always there and never moving. Or is this a good practice?